MARKET INTELBTC
n/an/a 24h

01Market pulse

The panels below scored into an intraday, swing and macro bias, plus how far BTC is expected to move. Not financial advice.

02Check a trade

Pick a side and a horizon: the evidence for and against, a stop, targets and what's coming up

03Price & levels

Where the market is, and the levels traders are watching

04Positioning

Binance, Bybit, OKX, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Deribit

05Liquidations

Where leveraged positions get force closed

Liquidation map, estimated

Model, not exchange data: reconstructs where leveraged positions opened from Binance 15-min OI changes, splits long/short by Binance top-trader positioning, spreads them over a 5× to 100× leverage mix, drops any cohort a later wick already liquidated, then scales to all venue OI (×n/a). Tall bars are levels where forced orders would cascade, and price often gets pulled toward them.

06Volatility & term structure

Deribit options and futures: what vol costs, skew, and carry

07ETF flows

US spot bitcoin ETFs, daily

08Prediction markets

Polymarket. Picks up each new market automatically as old ones settle

09Catalyst calendar

Fed, CPI, jobs, earnings, expiries

10Macro & sentiment

Liquidity, rates, dollar, risk, volatility
  • Price…
  • Derivatives…
  • Options…
  • Liquidations…
  • Liq. fills…
  • ETF…
  • Polymarket…
  • Fed watch…
  • Calendar…
  • Macro…
  • Cross-asset…
  • Track record…
Data: Binance, Bybit, OKX, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Deribit (options, futures, DVOL), Coinbase (public APIs). Farside Investors (ETF flows). Polymarket. ForexFactory, Federal Reserve, BLS, BEA (calendar). FRED, DefiLlama, CoinGecko, alternative.me (macro). Yahoo Finance (cross-asset, CME futures). The liquidation map is a model. Nothing here is financial advice. afrodance.fun